Kentucky Derby Best Bets of 2019

Below is your betting primer on the 2019 Kentucky Derby, including analysis of the horses most likely to win and best bets.

Horse Betting 101

Below are the most basic bets on any horse race:

  • The first is a “win” bet. The horse must win the race in order for you to win the wager.
  • Next, is a “place” bet. You win the wager if your horse finishes first or second.
  • Betting a horse to “show” means selecting a horse who you think will finish in the top 3.

Because of the difficulty of a win wager, it will yield the highest payoff of the three. A show wager will yield the lowest payoff but offers the greatest chance of winning. The minimum bet for a win, place or show bet is only $2.

Exacta Bets

You bet an exacta by selecting a minimum two horses to finish first and second. These horses must finish first and second, in that order, for you to win the wager. Thus, an exacta is more difficult than win, place and show wagers, but yields a higher payout.

If picking two horses in order sounds too difficult, you can “box” your wager. A boxed wager will win if your horses finish 1st and 2nd, in any order, making it more likely for you to win. The minimum bet for an exacta or exacta box wager is only $2.

Trifecta Bets

You bet a trifecta by selecting a minimum three horses to finish first, second, and third. These horses must finish first, second, and third, in that exact order, for you to win the bet. Therefore, a trifecta is more difficult than win, place and show bets, as well as exacta bets, so it yields a higher payout than any of those bets.

If picking three horses in order sounds like too much, you can “box” your bet. A boxed trifecta bet will win if your horses finish 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, in any order, making it more likely to win. The minimum bet for a trifecta wager is only 50 cents, and you can bet a trifecta box for as little as $3.

Now that you know how to bet on horse races, let’s take a look at the field for the Kentucky Derby. One thing to note is that unlike most sports betting, people usually wait until closer to the start in order to bet. This happens due to horses getting scratched from the race on occasion, as well as the fact that odds don’t lock in until the race.

Thus, these odds below will change:

Fast Facts
  1. The last seven Derby winners either won the Santa Anita Derby, Arkansas Derby, or Florida Derby. The horses that won these races are Roadster, Omaha Beach, and Maximum Security, respectively.
  2. However, Omaha Beach, the original favorite, was scratched from the Derby. Thus, this race has no clear cut favorite. Roadster is unknown on longer tracks like Churchill Downs. Maximum Security has had poor workouts leading up to the Derby. For a horse that’s won all four of his races, something isn’t right.
  3. Weather conditions look to be wet and sloppy for the race. When this is the case, the favorites usually become even greater favorites.
  4. A horse trained by Bob Baffert has won the Triple Crown two of the last four years. This makes him the most successful trainer today. Impossible and Game Winner are his two horses that are favorites.
  5. Improbable is the only horse classified as a favorite that’s ran a race on a wet track (Arkansas Derby).
Best Bet

This bet sounds like a cop out, but it’s the safest bet. This field is truly more wide open than any other field in recent memory. The presumed favorite, Omaha Beach, has to sit out this race.

Maximum Security seems just as likely to win and he is to place near the back of the pack. Roadster ran on a Santa Anita track that’s been closed the majority of this year. Add this to the fact Roadster never ran on a track near the length of the Kentucky Derby. Roadster makes for a risky horse to pick.

Thus, our safest bet is Improbable as a SHOW. It should pay our near even odds in the end, and Improbable’s races show that he can race well on all sort of tracks.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Playoff Preview

After a fantasy football regular season of ups and downs, our playoff bracket is set. We limped into the playoffs as the 5th seed, but are hopeful for a strong finish.

Final Regular Season Power Rankings

StakeHaul Fantasy Football Regular Season - Final - 2018

The picture above shows a week-by-week comparison of all the playoff teams in our fantasy football league, along whether we actually won or lost our matchup. The “Total” column shows our overall records if we played every team every week. The “Actual” column shows our final records and the seed in our playoffs each team received.

Since we’re the 5th seed, we have concerns about how our team will perform in the playoffs considering our poor final two weeks. Also, our first round opponent is much stronger than their season record indicates. According to our power rankings, this team is the second strongest team in our league.

StakeHaul vs #4 Seed


FAAB Dollars Remaining: $63

On one hand, ESPN projections favor our lineup to the #4 seed. On the other hand, we feel most avid fantasy football players would prefer our opponent’s lineup this weekend based on potential explosiveness.

The biggest individual matchups here are Aaron Rodgers vs. Patrick Mahomes and Saquon Barkley vs. Alvin Kamara. We hope Baltimore’s top ranked defense can reign in Patrick Mahomes, while Aaron Rodgers balls out against an injury ravaged Atlanta defense. Also, we’re hoping that Rodgers plays inspired football now that the Packers fired Mike McCarthy.

#6 Seed vs #3 Seed

This matchup features a six seed that’s been quite hot over the past four weeks and a three seed that’s been consistently above average most of the season. Presumably, Christian McCaffery will have to have another big game for the six seed to have any chance at winning.

#1 Seed Lineup

#2 Seed Lineup

Our top two seeds get a bye week this upcoming weekend. We beat the #1 seed in the first week of the season and lost to them in Week 12. However, they scored the highest number of total fantasy points throughout the season. The #2 seed rode Todd Gurley’s coattails throughout most of the season and looked to coast to the top seed, but losses in their last two weeks cost them.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 12

Our fantasy football championship aspirations took a drastic turn for the worse after this weekend. In addition to losing a first round bye, our team lost Melvin Gordon to injury.

Fantasy Football Week 12 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

Team #6 vs. StakeHaul


Week 12 Points: 117.4
Head-to-Head League Result: L 117.4-139.1
Total Season Points:
League Record: 7-5
League Standings: T-3rd
Power Rankings Record (This Week):
Power Rankings Record (Overall):
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $70

Lineup Moves

We spent $18 of FAAB this week, spending $12 on Stephen Gostkowski (NE K) and $6 on the Lions defense to plug them in the first and hopefully the second round of our playoffs. Hopefully, the move for Gostkowski will be the last move for a kicker this season.

Finally, we made a free transfer for Luke Kuechly for our IDP spot. Unless he’s injured, he’s staying in our starting lineup for the remainder of the season.

Thoughts From Week 12

We’re pretty angry about this week. If it’s even possible, we’re more angry than an angry Nicolas Cage.

For one, our opponent traded for JuJu Smith-Schuster earlier in the week. His 97 yard touchdown grab…no words.

Aaron Rodgers and Alvin Kamara, to our detriment, scored two of their lowest outputs of the season.

The worst part? We still could have won had we started Amari Cooper over Chris Carson. We opted for the safer play due to us being favorites in the matchup.

Finally, did you hear Melvin Gordon sprained his MCL and could be out for the rest of the fantasy football season? Fantastic. We love Melvin and wish for a speedy recovery.

Luckily, our Aaron Rodgers trade last week also netted us Gordon’s backup, Austin Ekeler. However, we still feel sick over losing Gordon’s high-scoring consistency.

Hear It From Our Week 12 Opponent!

Thank you for not starting Amari Cooper this week! Hahahahaha.

Week 13 Preview and Looking Forward

StakeHaul vs. Team #8

With virtually no chance at a first-round bye, we need to win and score well this week to secure the 3rd seed. Currently, we would be seeded 4th if the playoffs started today. We are nine points off from the 3rd seed, and 5th seed is four points behind us.

We’re playing the same team we lost to in Week 2. However, since that week, our opponent lost seven of their last nine and is out of playoff contention. Additionally, they are in the bottom half of our power rankings, so we feel good about winning.

As we stated earlier, we’re still in 5th place in our power rankings. Our power rankings are based on a W-L record using our score from each week and comparing it to the other teams score that week. Below is our season long power rankings record compared to the league:

This upcoming weekend will have a lot of maneuvering to determine our playoff picture. We’re preparing for the worst and hoping for the best.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 11

Our fantasy football team continued its strong performance, but the Chiefs v. Rams game prevented us from claiming the top score of the week. Looking ahead, our next matchup could determine who gets the second bye in our playoffs.

Fantasy Football Week 11 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

StakeHaul vs Team #9


Week 10 Points: 134.3
Head-to-Head League Result: W 134.3-79.1
Total Season Points: 1364.9
League Record: 7-4
League Standings: T-2nd
Power Rankings Record (This Week): 8-3
Power Rankings Record (Overall): 70-51
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $88

Lineup Moves

For all those that read last week’s fantasy football post, you know we traded for Aaron Rodgers. However, we had to replace our IDP and our kicker due to bye weeks for our normal starters. Thus, we brought in Landon Collins (NYG S) and the Tennessee Titans kicker, Ryan Succop.

By the way, this was Sports Betting Nicolas Cage’s reaction when we told him we picked up a player from the Titans…

We guess that when one loses two sports bets on the Titans, that person kinda freaks out and make no sense.

Anyways, as a Wisconsin startup and Green Bay Packers fans, it’s really hard to admit that the Chicago Bears look like a good team this year, especially on offense. However, we bit our tongue, picked up Anthony Miller, and dropped Tre’Quan Smith due to Miller’s WR production over the last four weeks.

Finally, we asked Twitter for their thoughts on who to start in our flex spot this week: Chris Carson or Kenny Golladay.

Thoughts From Week 11

  1. We went against the Twitter consensus and started Kenny Golladay. While we’re pleased that Carson played well against Green Bay and made it through without injury, we couldn’t be happier with starting Golladay. Obviously, Golladay is a must start in Week 12, even against the Bears defense.
  2. Aaron Rodgers gave us a solid 22 points, but we’re increasingly paranoid that Rodgers might start mailing it in towards the end of the season if the Packers don’t start winning. Call us crazy, but he doesn’t look like he wants to be out there with Mike McCarthy still calling the plays. Also, he’s not giving any “R-E-L-A-X” or “I think we can run the table” quotes to reassure the fans.
  3. The Bears defense continues to show itself as our best waiver wire pickup of the season. They have two tough matchups during Weeks 14 and 15 (Rams and Packers), but they’re playing so well that we’re second guessing benching them for those weeks.

Hear It From Our Week 11 Opponent!

Just like I’ve been saying all week, I had no chance. I still think you have bribe material on these managers you made trades with this season.

Editor’s note: Our opponent went on a long tirade after seeing we traded for Aaron Rodgers. In fact, he changed his team name and logo to appropriately vent his anger at the team that originally had Rodgers.

Week 12 Preview and Looking Forward

StakeHaul vs. Team #6

Our matchup in Week 12 has big playoff implications. We face another 7-4 team and the highest scoring team in the league. We faced this team Week 1 and won, but we had to field the highest scoring team of Week 1 to win.

Basically, we need to win this week to have a chance to claim the second bye in our league playoffs, which would be Week 14.

As we stated earlier, we’re still in 5th place in our power rankings. Our power rankings are based on a W-L record using our score from each week and comparing it to the other teams score that week. Below is our season long power rankings record compared to the league:

We’ve got three straight weeks of consistently strong performance heading into the playoffs. This week will go a long way in showing how our playoffs will be seeded.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 10

A high scoring fantasy football weekend netted us a win and a four-way tie for second place. If that wasn’t exciting enough, we made another trade.

Fantasy Football Week 10 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

StakeHaul vs Team #3


Week 10 Points: 137.4
Head-to-Head League Result: W 137.4-107.9
Total Season Points: 1230.6
League Record: 6-4
League Standings: T-2nd
Power Rankings Record (This Week): 10-1
Power Rankings Record (Overall): 62-48 (5th)
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $88

Wait, Another Trade!?

While we didn’t spend FAAB dollars this past week, we swung our third fantasy football trade of the season, effective immediately after Week 10 concluded.

We traded away the following:

  • Tom Brady (NE QB)
  • Courtland Sutton (DEN WR)

In return, we received:

  • Aaron Rodgers (GB QB)
  • Austin Ekeler (LAC RB)

We like this trade on two fronts. One, we believe Aaron Rodgers provides us with an upgraded starting QB. Two, we get cover in case Melvin Gordon hurts himself again. However, we are going to miss Courtland Sutton and his potential to be a valuable keeper next season.

We posted a poll on Twitter on who got the better end of this trade. Twitter gave us the advantage.

Thoughts From Week 10

  1. We had to endure a rough three weeks of low fantasy output from Kenny Golladay, so we’re glad he rebounded in a big way. In all honesty, we’ve been trying to trade him over the last month, to no avail. We tried including him instead of Sutton in trade talks with the team we got Aaron Rodgers from. We’re hoping Kenny G can be a valuable starter down the stretch.
  2. Speaking of Kenny Golladay, we tried packaging him in a trade to receive Leonard Fournette to that same team we ended up getting Aaron Rodgers from. Frankly, this team needed wide receivers, and we were looking to consolidate our bench into every-week FLEX starters. At the end of the day, the other manage wanted to see how Fournette would do for the rest of the season. It will be interesting to analyze this non-move at the end of the fantasy football season.
  3. We’ve been ridiculously impatient with kickers this season. We dropped Dustin Hopkins (Redskins) and put in Jason Myers (Jets). This transaction lost us six points when comparing the two. Also, we will have to change kickers for next week since the Jets have a bye week.
  4. Ditto for tight ends. We dropped Jordan Reed (Redskins) and picked up Evan Engram (Giants). Despite their team records, we like the potential of the Giants offense more than the Redskins potential. Also, Reed hadn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1. Their performance this past weekend was very comparable, but we really need a healthy Rob Gronkowski to be a difference maker come playoff time.
  5. Overall, a strong team performance, despite our now former quarterback doing nothing against the Titans defense. Even better, second place lost to first place. We are now in a four-way tie for second and the other playoff bye.

Hear It From Our Week 10 Opponent!

Get this season over with. When is the 2019 draft scheduled for?

Week 11 Preview and Looking Forward

StakeHaul vs. Team #9

For Week 11, we face a team with a 5-5 record and 9th place in our power rankings. This team got absolutely boned by Cody Parkey last week. Parkey got -7 points, and this team lost by 1.1 points. You have to see this for yourself.

As we stated earlier, we’re in 5th place in our power rankings. Our power rankings are based on a W-L record using our score from each week and comparing it to the other teams score that week. For example, our Week 10 W-L record was 10-1, which means we were the second highest scoring team in the league in Week 10. Below is our season long power rankings record compared to the league:

Our power rankings record is 62-48. This tells us our actual league record is in line with how well our team has scored this season. It also shows we got lucky to win Weeks 3,6, and 7, while we were unlucky to lose Weeks 2,4, and 9.

Here’s to hoping Aaron Rodgers can make our squad stronger going forward.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 8 and Week 9

Our first ever two game losing streak in this league happened thanks to facing the two top scoring teams back-to-back and unfortunate bye week schedules.

Fantasy Football Week 8 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

StakeHaul vs Team #11


Week 8 Points: 104.1
Head-to-Head League Result: L 104.1-142.7

Fantasy Football Week 9 Summary

StakeHaul vs Team #12


Week 8 Points: 130.1
Head-to-Head League Result: L 130.1-135.5

Total Season Points: 1093.2
Record: 5-4
League Standings: T-3rd
Power Rankings: 5th (unchanged)
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $88 (-$69)

FAAB Dollars Spent

Prior to Week 8, we spent $17 on Raheem Mostert (SF RB) and $2 on Dustin Hopkins (WAS K). Also, when we found out Rob Gronkowski picked up an injury, we paid $18 for Jordan Reed (WAS TE). The amount we bid for Reed was overkill since no other team bothered to place any bid on him.

Prior to Week 9, we successfully bid $32 on Courtland Sutton, the new #2 WR on Denver.

Thoughts From Week 8

This wasn’t the first two game losing streak we’ve had in our fantasy football career, but it was the first in three years in this league.

It turns out we never had a chance in Week 8. Unfortunately, neither Raheem Mostert nor Kenny Golladay could take advantage of juicy matchups. In reality, Odell Beckham Jr. outscoring Tyreek Hill was the only positive from that week.

Hear It From Our Week 8 Opponent!

Hahaha your top heavy team never had a chance. Looking forward to beating you again in the playoffs.

Thoughts From Week 9

This loss hurts a lot, even with Odell Beckham Jr. on a bye week.

First, our starting WRs could not get anything going. Second, Gronk did not play, and his replacement, Jordan Reed, scored very little. Third, our FLEX, Chris Carson, got hurt in the first half and did not return. Finally, and most maddeningly, James White outscored Tom Brady.

On a positive note, it was nice to see the Cowboys force Amari Cooper targets and see him score a touchdown. We’re not upset that not putting him in the starting lineup cost us a win. For us, the risk of putting in a newly traded WR on a bad offense over established #2 WRs on above average offenses outweighed the benefits.

Finally, we can breathe a sigh of relief knowing that Melvin Gordon seems to be over his hamstring injury.

Hear It From Our Week 9 Opponent!

Unlucky for you…see you in the playoffs.

Week 10 Preview and Looking Forward

Team #3 vs. StakeHaul

For Week 10, we face the currently last place team in our league. We believe this team to be much stronger than their position, however. Our opponent has the unfortunate combination of being 1st in points against and inconsistent scoring from players besides Saquon Barkley. Regardless, we need this win in order to keep pace for a playoff berth.

Looking forward, the top scoring teams in our league make up our projected playoff bracket. We’re 2-3 against the top teams, with our Week 8 loss being the only bad loss against the currently 1st place team.

Our 5-4 overall record has us tied for 3rd place with three other teams. Over our final four regular season matchups, three of them are against teams in the bottom half of our league. Therefore, we anticipate we’ll need to win those three matchups to secure one of the six playoff berths.

It might be too late to secure a first round bye in our playoffs, but we are one win behind the second place team, a team we beat in Week 1. If we win out, there’s always a chance.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 7

A fantasy football team missing two of its most valuable assets due to injury usually makes for a bad week. Sometimes, it pays to be lucky.

Fantasy Football Week 7 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

StakeHaul vs Team #4

Week 7 Points: 101.8
Head-to-Head League Result: W 101.8-57.7
Total Season Points: 858.6
Record: 5-2
League Standings: T-1st
Power Rankings: 5th (down from 3rd)
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $157 (-$59)

No FAAB Dollars Spent This Week

Below are the final results from last Wednesday’s waiver claims:

  • Mitchell Trubisky, Chi QB – $37
  • Wil Lutz, NO K – $31
  • Frank Gore, Mia RB – $23
  • Christian Kirk, Ari WR – $21
  • Jermaine Kearse, NYJ WR – $16
  • Chargers Defense – $16
  • Bills Defense – $2

Other Roster Moves

As we mentioned last week, we swung a massive trade for Melvin Gordon:

  • We traded away David Johnson, Corey Clement, and Alshon Jeffery
  • In return, we received Melvin Gordon, Chris Carson, and Amari Cooper

Also, we seem to have a revolving door at our kicker spot since we swapped Graham Gano for Brett Maher. Finally, we added Tre’Quan Smith, a rookie WR playing for New Orleans. With Ted Ginn recently placed on IR, we’re hoping Smith’s new role as the #2 WR pays dividends in the high octane New Orleans offense.

Thoughts From This Week

Even though we blew out our opponent, we got lucky again. This week, our opponent was by far the lowest scoring team.

This was the second week in a row in which our team scored better than only three other teams in our league. However, we can blame this on late week injuries to both Melvin Gordon and Rob Gronkowski. Hopefully, these injuries don’t linger.

The trade for Odell Beckham Jr. overall is still a wash, but we’re glad he put up stud WR1 numbers this week. Unfortunately, we won’t be able to start evaluating our trade for Melvin Gordon until after Week 9 due to bye weeks.

Finally, we’re happy to see Alvin Kamara score a touchdown against a tough Baltimore defense. Even better, that touchdown came from a two yard rush, which normally those touchdowns are reserved for Mark Ingram.

Hear It From Our Week 7 Opponent!

Congrats on winning this week’s Cuck Bowl. Your team still sucks.

Week 8 Preview

Team #11 vs. StakeHaul

Our opponent also sits at 5-2 and is 2nd in our power rankings. And with Melvin Gordon on a bye week, we admit we’re big underdogs. Also, we badly need Gronk back from injury to have a chance. Finally, we kindly ask Todd Gurley and Robert Woods to not score any touchdowns against our hometown Packers.

On a final note, we’re optimistic that Dallas trading for Amari Cooper will work out well for us. That isn’t saying much, but Cooper has nowhere to go but up. If the Cowboys are willing to give up a 1st round pick for Cooper, we imagine he will be fed a lot of receiving targets as the new #1 WR.

What more roster moves will we make? Will we make any side bets for the weekend?

Tune in next week to find out!

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 6

Our fantasy football team scored less than average, but still pulled out the win. After the win, we made a big time trade to acquire Melvin Gordon. Go big or go home.

Fantasy Football Week 6 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

Team #5 vs. StakeHaul

Week 6 Points: 103.5
Head-to-Head League Result: W 103.5-91.1
Total Season Points: 756.7
Record: 4-2
League Standings: 1st
Power Rankings: 3rd
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $157 (-$59)

FAAB Dollars Spent This Week

Our league set the bar even higher this week in terms of FAAB dollars spent. Jay Ajayi’s season-ending injury caused us to bid high on his main replacement, Corey Clement. Below are the final results:

  • Corey Clement, Phi RB – $59
  • Randall Cobb, GB WR – $33
  • Wendell Smallwood, Phi RB – $26
  • Alfred Morris, SF RB – $26
  • Packers Defense – $15
  • Jameis Winston, TB QB – $12
  • Andy Dalton, Cin QB – $2

For context, the second highest bid for Clement was $42, with the next highest at $40. Needless to say, multiple league mates had interest in Clement, and we used that interest for completing a mega trade after this weekend.

Other Roster Moves

The only other roster move we made last week was when we swapped kickers. Specifically, Robbie Gould for Graham Gano. You’ll see below that this decision would have cost us a win against most teams this past weekend.

Thoughts From This Week

Remember, we played the team where the manager missed the fantasy draft. Also, the manager has not spent a dime in FAAB dollars all year. This team should not be in first place, in theory.

Having said that, we admit we got lucky this weekend. We happened to catch the 1st place team on a worse weekend despite our low scoring weekend. Alvin Kamara and Kenny Golladay both having their bye week certainly contributed to this, but we only scored better than three other teams.

So what went wrong? Our decision to roster Graham Gano instead of Robbie Gould cost us 15 points. We started the Bears defense instead of Minnesota, which cost us 14 points. Finally, starting Keke Coutee at the FLEX spot instead of Alex Collins cost us 12.9 points.

On a similar note, our trade for Odell Beckham Jr. has neither helped nor hurt us yet in terms of W/L or money made from side bets. However, if we look at strictly point totals, we’re down 11.9 points combined over the past two weeks., due large in part of Hill blowing up this past weekend.

Luckily, our new acquisition showed up, along with Alshon Jeffery.

Hear It From Our Week 6 Opponent!

Unfortunately, this team did not trash talk us before nor after this weekend. Pity, we had some good autodraft banter in our arsenal.

Week 7 Preview

StakeHaul vs Team #4

You’re probably thinking to yourself, how the hell did you get Melvin Gordon into your lineup? Well folks, remember that mega trade that we teased earlier?

This trade accepted immediately after Week 6 will make or break our season. To review:

  • We traded away David Johnson, Corey Clement, and Alshon Jeffery
  • In return, we received Melvin Gordon, Chris Carson, and Amari Cooper

We took a risk here. We gave up two and potentially three every week starters for a top-3 player in fantasy football this season. Barring unforeseen circumstances, Carson and Cooper are at best bye week fillers.

Interesting enough, while we like this trade, Twitter disagreed. 68% of voters felt we lost the trade.

As far as our opponent, they sit at 3-3 and 8th in our power rankings. However, they rank #1 in terms of trash talking. They’re that opponent where you change your team name to disparage their soul. They took it even further by changing their team logo to this:

That’s just mean. We plan to whoop some ass this weekend.

What more moves will we make? Will we make any side bets for the weekend?

Tune in next week to find out!

Finally, shoutout to Mason Crosby for TOTALLY REDEEMING HIMSELF against San Francisco.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 5

The drama of our fantasy football season rises to its peak. We made a trade for Odell Beckham Jr. Eight of twelve teams have a 3-2 record or better. This is getting fun.

Fantasy Football Week 5 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

StakeHaul vs. Team #10

Week 4 Points: 124.1
Head-to-Head League Result: W 124.1-94.5
Total Season Points: 653.3
Record: 3-2
League Standings: 2nd
Power Rankings: 1st
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $216 (-$18)

FAAB Dollars Spent This Week

Our league mates spent the most FAAB dollars for waiver pickups all year. Also, we decided to get in on the action. Below are the final results:

  • Jared Cook, Oak TE – $40
  • Alex Smith, Wsh QB – $20
  • Keke Coutee, Hou WR – $18
  • Titans Defense – $15
  • Dede Westbrook, Jax WR – $15
  • Nyheim Hines, Ind RB – $15
  • Ty Montgomery, GB RB – $11
  • Vance McDonald, Pit TE – $8
  • Dan Bailey, Min K – $7
  • Cameron Brate, TB TE – $3
  • Josh Lambo, Jax K – $1
  • Luke Kuechly, Car LB – $1

Keke, we love you.

First Trade of the Year

Remember when we almost traded Tyreek Hill and Alex Collins for Le’Veon Bell and Larry Fitzgerald before Week 1?

Well, we traded Tyreek Hill for Odell Beckham Jr. We felt the trade was a good but risky trade based on two factors.

One, Hill is arguably the most exciting skill position player in the NFL. His ability to blow the top off any defense contributed to many top scoring fantasy weeks. We will never forget his monstrous Week 1 won us a high-scoring matchup. In addition, his contribution won us $15 for being the highest scoring team of the week, as well as $10 for having the most fantasy points for any one person.

The other reason is that the Giants offense struggled mightily the first four weeks of the season. As a result, OBJ scored zero touchdowns and ranked outside the top 20 in total points going into this past weekend.

So why did we offer the trade?

Frankly, we felt it can’t get any worse stat wise for OBJ. Did you know he had a similar slow start in 2016? Here are his numbers in 2016, compared to 2018:

  • 2016: 39 targets / 22 receptions / 303 yards / 0 touchdowns
  • 2018: 45 targets / 31 receptions / 331 yards / 0 touchdowns

OBJ finished the year the #4 WR in fantasy with 101 receptions, 1367 yards, and 12 touchdowns.

Time will tell on who won this trade. We wish Tyreek Hill the best, unless his fantasy team is playing ours.

Other Roster Moves

First, we dropped O.J. Howard and Peyton Barber to waivers due to the multi-week injury of the former and the ineffectiveness of the latter.

Second, we added Hunter Henry (LAC TE) on a free waiver and stashed him to our IR. We’re hoping he makes a comeback from his May ACL tear and is able to play on or before Week 11 when Rob Gronkowski is on a bye week.

Third, we swapped kickers. We dropped Denver’s Brandon McManus for San Francisco’s Robbie Gould based on SF’s matchup against Arizona.

Finally, we picked up the Patriots D to start them against a injury-riddled Colts teams. Below shows how depleted the team was for the Thursday night matchup:

Thoughts From This Week

It’s about time we had our first semi-comfortable win of the season. Also, we won the OBJ-Hill for this week.

Tom Brady’s overall performance and David Johnson’s two touchdowns made us happy. OBJ scored his first receiving TD of the year and threw for another off a trick play. Kenny Golladay burning the Green Bay defense created a silver lining for the overall depressing Green Bay performance.

However, starting the Patriots defense turned out to be a mistake, as well as swapping kickers. Also, Alvin Kamara put up his first dud of the season despite the New Orleans offense scoring 43 points. In reality, our team should have won $15 for being the highest scoring team of the week, but the roster moves and the dud from Kamara prevented this.

Oh well, our team will take the win, considering how even our 12-team league is by record. The first place team is 4-1, seven teams are 3-2, and two teams are 2-3.

Hear It From Our Week 5 Opponent!

Tom Brady has AIDS.

Week 6 Preview

Team #5 vs. StakeHaul

We play the first place 4-1 team this upcoming weekend. We believe this team to be the oddest 4-1 team in fantasy football history.

First, this is the lone team in our league where the manager missed the fantasy draft. Also, the manager has not spent a dime in FAAB dollars all year.

Despite this, our opponent scored the most points out of all teams in two separate weeks. However, this team was the 3rd lowest scoring team two other weeks, with an average week thrown in. When you combine this with our Alvin Kamara and Kenny Golladay both having bye weeks, we have no idea what will happen.

Will we make any attempts at waiver pickups? If so, how much will it take to bid to secure their services? Finally, will we make any side bets for the weekend?

Tune in next week to find out!

Finally, for fuck’s sake, this would only happen to the Packers.

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The Haul – Fantasy Football Week 4

Alvin Kamara is a fantasy football cheat code. Too bad the rest of our team let us down.

Fantasy Football Week 4 Summary (for last week’s result, click here)

StakeHaul vs. Team #1

Week 3 Points: 145.6
Head-to-Head League Result: L 145.6-151.1
Record: 2-2
League Standings: 6th
Power Rankings: T-2nd
Total Season Haul From Side Bets: +$90
FAAB Dollars Remaining: $234 (no change)

No FAAB Dollars Spent This Week and No Roster Moves

The final winning bids are below:

  • Tyler Boyd, Cin WR – $35
  • Philip Rivers, LAC QB – $28
  • Tavon Austin, Dal RB – $6
  • Austin Hooper, Atl TE – $3
  • Christian Kirk, Ari WR – $1
  • Lions Defense – $1

We didn’t make any free waiver moves because we wanted to wait one more week to see who to drop for Week 5 since Alshon Jeffery is now back form injury. Therefore, we decided to keep him in the IR spot.

It was encouraging to see he put up 100 yards and a touchdown. He might be a regular in our starting lineup going forward.

Thoughts From This Week

Unfortunate.  We’re going to be asking ourselves “what if” a lot over the next couple days.

  • What if Alex Collins hadn’t lost a fumble at the goal line and instead scored his second touchdown of the night
  • What if Ezekiel Elliott didn’t have his career high in scrimmage yards?
  • What if Rob Gronkowski hadn’t gotten hurt (again)? What if, before getting hurt, Gronk could have been like our opponent’s FLEX (Will Fuller V) and scored before getting hurt?
  • What if Sony Michel could have waited an extra week before getting a workhorse role in the Patriots offense?

All in all, you would expect this kind of high scoring matchup between two of the best fantasy teams in the league. It came down to last night’s Monday night Chiefs/Broncos game, and ultimately Mahomes doing Mahomes things was the difference.

We really want this matchup back in the playoffs. Until then, we have to see the bright side of things. For example, while we lost our $10 bet to our opponent, we gained $10 right back thanks to Alvin Kamara, our fantasy cheat code, scoring the most fantasy points for one player in Week 4. Also, assuming our score holds up, we will win $45 at the end of the season for having the most team points scored in a loss.

Hear It From Our Week 4 Opponent!

No taunts from me, it was a nail biter dude.

Week 5 Preview

StakeHaul vs. Team #10

There’s always one team you want to beat more than any other team in your fantasy football league. For us, that matchup happens this upcoming weekend. In fact, we’ve already changed our team names to appropriately start the trash talking.

Our opponent is 3-1 and rode the hot wave of Ryan Fitzpatrick for a few weeks before flaming out this past weekend. Therefore, we’re not sure what waiver moves he will make, but we’re confident we can handle his team.

Will we make any attempts at waiver pickups? If so, how much will it take to bid to secure their services? Finally, will we make any side bets for the weekend?

Tune in next week to find out!

Oh yeah, LOL Lions.

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