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StakeHaul Bets On Super Bowl 53

Here are our favorite bets on the big game.

First off, we regret to inform everyone that Sports Betting Nicolas Cage is still AWOL. We’re guessing he finally snapped after posting a 1-3 record during the NFL Wildcard Weekend.

This leaves Sports Betting Nicolas Cage with a 24-15 record on the 2018-2019 NFL season, so we have big shoes to fill. Maybe you should just do the opposite of what we say.

James White O/U 5.5 Receptions
Pick: Over

Some betting places increased this O/U to 6.5 based on the action leaning towards the Over. We agree with this, despite the Rams ranked #4 during the regular season in defensive DVOA against RBs in the passing game.

In 18 games this season, James White caught 6 or more receptions in 8 games, but the Patriots have shown that will pepper White with targets when needed. In the Divisional game against the Chargers, White caught 5 balls on the opening touchdown drive alone. He ended up with 15 receptions on the game. And don’t forget, he caught 14 balls in Super Bowl LI and arguably should have won the Super Bowl MVP.

It seems this insightful SB Nation article on James White agrees, as well.

The Rams defense got torched by Alvin Kamara to the tune of 11 receptions. We think the Patriots will see what happened in the NFC Championship game and attack it, especially since they don’t have a field stretcher at WR due to Josh Gordon’s suspension.

Todd Gurley O/U 63.5 rushing yards
Pick: Over
(Potential Hedge: CJ Anderson OVER 49.5 rushing yards)

We assume that Vegas has no idea what to make of Todd Gurley’s involvement in this game, as well as no idea if his previously injured knee is still affecting his play. This line, if this were the regular season, would be criminally low.

We’re taking LA coach Sean McVay’s word for it that Gurley is 100% healthy and will be a big part of the game.

Even if you may think the Rams will split carries between Gurley and CJ Anderson, the Rams averaged 143 rushing yards per game in the regular season and blitzed the formidable Dallas rushing defense in the payoffs for 273 rushing yards. While they only rushed for 77 yards last week, they played catchup all game, not to mention New Orleans ranked even higher than Dallas in defensive rushing DVOA. New England struggled against the run all season, allowing a fourth-worst 4.9 yards per carry. 

1st Quarter Spread
Pick: Rams +0.5

Did you know that New England has scored a grand total of just three first-quarter points in the eight Super Bowls of the Brady/Belichick era? Seriously.

We believe two things will happen. One, the Rams will start off fast in this game against a mediocre Pats D. Or, the game will start with minimum scoring, and the Patriots will adjust their gameplay to counter punch the Rams as the game goes on. That’s how they’ve traditionally played in the Super Bowl.

Oh, you wondered what we’re betting on for the outcome of the Super Bowl? We’re going Rams +2.5, but we won’t blame you if you bet on the Patriots and their past Super Bowl experience. We just think that if we picked a NFL team of only Rams and Patriots players, we’d have a lot more Rams players. Talent vs. experience – which will win out?

Best of luck on your Super Bowl bets!

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Super Bowl 53 Betting Ideas

You want Super Bowl betting ideas? We got ideas for prop bets, Super Bowl Squares, and so much more!

Stop us if you’ve heard this before: The Super Bowl is the most watched event in the U.S. annually. And according to betting industry lobbyists, approximately $5B (!!!) will be bet on Sunday’s big game, far and away the largest amount bet on a single sports game annually.

Here at StakeHaul, we love betting on the big game. Therefore, we’ve put together a way-too-long list of potential bets for you to use StakeHaul on with your friends. You think you’re limited to singular, in-game bets? Think again!

Super Bowl Prop Bets

While you could simply bet on the spread (currently Patriots -2.5) or the O/U (currently 56), why not spice it up with some prop bets? Here are a number of examples, courtesy of Vegas:

Coin Toss
  • Will the coin toss be Heads or Tails?
  • Which team will win the coin toss?
  • Will the team that wins the coin toss win the game?
Halftime Show
  • What color will Adam Levine’s top be at the start of the halftime show? (Black/Any other color)
  • How many songs will be played during the halftime show? (O/U 7.5)
  • What will be the first song sung by Maroon 5 during the halftime show?
Exotic Props
  • What color of Gatorade will be dumped on the game winning coach?
  • How long will Gladys Knight sing the National Anthem? (O/U 1min 50 sec)
  • Will any scoring drive take less time than it took Gladys Knight to sing the National Anthem?
  • How many commercials will run during the Super Bowl? (O/U 96)
  • Which beer commercial will run first? (You could use this question for a number of different industries)
  • Total number of Donald Trump tweets on February 3rd (O/U 6.5)
  • Will there be an onside kick during the game?

Honestly, if you can think of a bet, Vegas likely has odds on it.

Statistical Props

If there’s a stat that the NFL tracks, you can be sure Vegas has O/U odds on it. This includes specific offensive players. For example, James White, Patriots RB, has an O/U of 5.5 catches in the game. While running backs and wide receivers do not have odds on passing yards, there is one prop bet on whether a non-QB will throw for a touchdown in the game.

We will have our favorite Super Bowl bets in the near future, so stay tuned.

Prop Sheet Pools

Want to get multiple people involved in prop betting? Create a pool with numerous questions on a sheet. The person with the most correct answers wins. Here’s an example:

Make sure you have a tiebreaker in case the top two or more individuals score the same number of points.

Super Bowl Squares

Here’s how to use Super Bowl Squares:

  1. Start with an empty 10×10 grid (seen above). This will give you 100 squares that you can let participants select.
  2. Fill in the numbers 0 through 9 vertically in the gray column.
  3. Fill in the numbers 0 through 0 horizontally in the gray row.
  4. Randomly assign numbers 0 through 9 to each column, followed by doing the same for each row. You could also let participants pick their numbers by taking turns picking numbers until all numbers are filled.
  5. Determine how much it costs to buy a square.
  6. Watch the Super Bowl. As the Super Bowl progresses, players track the score at the end of each quarter, and whoever has the square that corresponds to the last number in each team’s score is the winner of that portion of the game.

For example, the Eagles were ahead 9-3 over the Patriots at the end of the first quarter of last year’s Super Bowl. Whoever had the square that corresponded to “Eagles 9/Patriots 3” was the winner. The person holding an “Eagles 2/Patriots 2” square won when the halftime margin was 22-12. A 29-26 Eagles lead after three quarters made “Eagles 9/Patriots 6” a winner for that part of the game. Finally, with the Eagles winning the game 41-33, the “Eagles 1/Patriots 3” square won.

For the remaining squares that were bought, you could create a tiebreaker with a “winner-take-all” scenario, or you could split the remaining money evenly between participants.

Super Bowl Commercial Bingo

Now we’re getting into peak betting degeneracy.

There are numerous online sites where you can enter in 24 different brands (or 25 if you want to not have a free space) you think will advertise during the Super Bowl. They will randomize those brands into bingo cards you can print out for purchase. Same rules of bingo apply, and winner takes all.

Super Bowl Monopoly Money Challenge

  1. Have everyone chip in an equal of real money ($10, $20, $50, $1,000; etc.).
  2. Give everyone an equal amount of Monopoly money at the start of the broadcast (before National Anthem begins).
  3. Everyone uses their Monopoly money to bet on anything and everything related to the game or the broadcast as it’s happening. For example, one person can call out whether they think a team will convert a 1st down on a 3rd down play.
  4. The person with the most Monopoly money at the end of the night wins the real money in the pot (or you can split it 75%/25% for first and second place, etc.).

Are there any other betting ideas that we missed? Let us know in the comments.

Happy Super Bowl betting!

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